As the 2026 Big 12 Championship draws near, anticipation builds around the teams vying for the title. The Big 12 Football™ conference has undergone significant changes in recent years, particularly with the departure of traditional powerhouses like Oklahoma and Texas. This shift has opened the door for a more competitive landscape, where multiple teams have a legitimate shot at the championship, and this season promises to be no different.
Texas Tech stands out as the clear favorite to reclaim the Big 12 title. Following a successful 2025 season where they captured the championship, the Red Raiders have made significant investments to bolster their program. Their offseason was marked by high-profile developments, including the ongoing saga surrounding quarterback Brendan Sorsby and the involvement of athletic director Cody Campbell in the proposed Protect College Sports Act. These narratives have elevated Texas Tech's profile, making them a polarizing figure in college football.
Despite the drama, the Red Raiders have a solid foundation to build upon. They boasted a formidable defense last season, allowing an average of just 11.8 points per game, which included two shutouts. Their defensive prowess was reflected in their top rankings in various metrics, such as adjusted EPA per play and success rate. Even with the departure of key players like David Bailey, the defensive unit, led by coordinator Shiel Wood, is expected to remain a force. Key returning players, including lineman A.J. Holmes Jr. and cornerback Brice Pollock, will be crucial in maintaining this dominance.
On the offensive side, Texas Tech will look to quarterback Will Hammond to lead the charge. Having gained experience as a backup last season, Hammond will benefit from the returning duo of running backs Cameron Dickey and J’Koby Williams. This combination should ease the transition and help the offense maintain its efficiency, especially given the advantageous field position often provided by the defense.
Texas Tech's schedule appears favorable, as they will not face BYU or Utah during the regular season. Their most significant challenge in the Big 12 will likely come from a home game against Houston on September 23. If they can navigate that matchup successfully, the Red Raiders could potentially head into the Big 12 Championship Game with an undefeated record.
While Texas Tech is the favorite, Oklahoma State emerges as an intriguing sleeper pick. After a disappointing 1-11 season last year, the Cowboys have undergone a transformation under new head coach Eric Morris. Known for his ability to develop quarterbacks, Morris brings with him several key players from North Texas, including standout quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who had a breakout season leading the Mean Green to a 12-win record in 2025.
Mestemaker's arrival in Stillwater is expected to rejuvenate the Oklahoma State offense, which also features top receiver Wyatt Young and prolific running back Caleb Hawkins. The continuity from North Texas, coupled with Morris's coaching, could position the Cowboys to surprise many in the conference. Their upcoming matchups, particularly against Houston and Texas Tech, will serve as critical tests for this revamped squad.
As the 2026 Big 12 Championship approaches, the competition is set to be fierce. With Texas Tech aiming to defend its title and Oklahoma State looking to make a statement, fans can expect an exciting season filled with compelling storylines and intense matchups.
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