The Dallas Cowboys are poised to return with a formidable offense in the 2026 NFL season. After finishing among the league's elite in scoring, yards, and expected points added (EPA) last year, the team has made strategic improvements during the offseason. The anticipated growth of Tyler Guyton at left tackle and Ryan Flournoy as the third wide receiver could be pivotal in elevating the Cowboys' offensive game.
Under the guidance of offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer and assistant Klayton Adams, the Cowboys have crafted one of the most balanced offenses in the league. With a dynamic roster featuring running back Javonte Williams, and wide receivers CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, the team has the potential to challenge defenses at every level. However, one critical component of their offensive strategy has been conspicuously absent: the screen pass.
The screen game is often lauded for its ability to frustrate opposing defenses. This strategic approach, typically involving a quick pass to a running back, is designed to exploit defensive aggressiveness and create opportunities for big gains. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, they ranked 31st in the NFL for screen pass usage in 2025, utilizing this tactic just 6.6% of the time, with only the Houston Texans employing it less frequently.
Schottenheimer's inaugural season as head coach, coupled with Adams' first year as offensive coordinator, may explain this oversight. With an abundance of offensive talent at their disposal, including Dak Prescott, Williams, Lamb, and Pickens, the coaching staff may have leaned heavily on high-impact plays rather than incorporating the more methodical screen passes into their game plan.
Statistical analysis supports the Cowboys' preference for downfield passing, as a study from 2024 indicated that non-screen dropbacks yielded a +0.13 EPA per play advantage over screen plays. While this rationale is understandable, it overlooks the unique benefits that screen passes can provide.
Screen passes can disrupt the rhythm of opposing pass rushers, forcing them to hesitate and adjust their approach. This is particularly important for the Cowboys, who are currently facing challenges at the right tackle position. Terence Steele has struggled with pass protection, raising concerns about Prescott's safety in the pocket. By implementing more screen passes, the Cowboys can mitigate the threat from edge rushers, compelling them to play more cautiously.
Despite the average EPA for screens being slightly negative at -0.08, their value lies in their ability to produce low-risk, high-reward opportunities. Unlike traditional runs, which offer limited upside, screens can yield significant gains if executed correctly. With a playmaker like KaVontae Turpin, known for his agility and ability to create plays in space, the Cowboys have the potential to turn screen passes into game-changing plays.
As the Cowboys prepare for the 2026 season, the question remains: how many screen passes will they incorporate into their strategy? While non-screen dropbacks have demonstrated superior potential for big plays, screens have a higher completion rate, making them a reliable option for positive yardage. The Cowboys must find a balance that allows them to leverage their elite downfield weapons while also integrating a focused screen game.
Ultimately, the effectiveness of the Cowboys' offense in 2026 may hinge on their willingness to embrace the screen pass. If they can successfully implement this strategy, it could be the missing element that propels them to new heights this season.
Leave a Comment