With another domino falling in the 2026 NBA offseason, clarity on Jonathan Kuminga's future team may finally be near. The Cleveland Cavaliers struck a trade to acquire Peyton Watson from the Denver Nuggets, giving him a four-year, $88 million deal in the process. In the three-way trade, the Los Angeles Clippers added Max Strus, while the Nuggets received a 2031 first-round pick from the Cavaliers and a 2032 Kings second-round pick.
The Cavaliers were widely viewed as a potential landing spot for Kuminga, but the trade has seemingly narrowed the former Golden State Warrior and Atlanta Hawk's potential free-agent destinations to two likely teams. The latest odds on the prediction market Kalshi list two teams as heavy favorites, with two others considered longshots.
Latest odds on Jonathan Kuminga's free agency- Los Angeles Lakers: 52%
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 37%
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 5%
- Milwaukee Bucks: 3%
The Hawks are also listed with a 1% chance, but all other teams are listed with less than 1% on Kalshi to sign Kuminga.
Obviously, the Lakers make sense as a potential fit, but it could require them to free up some cap space or move things around in order to make it work. Spotrac's breakdown of the current salary cap across the NBA highlights where things stand for teams, but it's bound to change for most as the new season draws near and final roster changes are made.
Speaking from a purely basketball standpoint, Kuminga would be a great piece for the Lakers or T'Wolves to add, likely as a core member of their second unit. He can provide a scoring punch and has shown upside as a rebounder during his time in Golden State and Atlanta. It's unclear exactly how close Kuminga is to signing with a new team, but it seems apparent that Los Angeles and Minnesota are the teams to monitor closely.
This article originally appeared on For The Win: Jonathan Kuminga odds point heavily to 2 teams after Peyton Watson trade
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