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Sri Lanka vs India 1st Test live win probability, scorecard, chances of victory in Galle

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India heads back to Sri Lanka after a nine-year gap, kicking off a two-Test series at the Galle International Cricket Stadium on August 15, 2026.

Both matches count toward the ICC World Test Championship 2025-27 cycle, where India currently sit fifth in the table with 52 points and a points percentage of 48.15 from nine Tests so far.

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Shubman Gill takes charge as captain, though his build-up hasn't been entirely smooth. He picked up a finger injury during a training session in Colombo and had to sit out part of the warm-up match as a result.

He's since returned to batting and looked more than ready heading into the opener, with reports suggesting he'll slot in at number four.

Jasprit Bumrah, India's premier pace bowler, is out of the entire tour with an injury, which is a significant blow given his usual impact with the ball. A

uqib Nabi has been drafted into the squad as his replacement, but he is lower down the pecking order behind Mohammad Siraj, Prasidh Krishna, and Gurnoor Brar.

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Live Scorecard

Sri Lanka vs India 1st Test: Toss result & Live updates

Toss: Toss to take place at 9:30 am IST. 

Sri Lanka vs India 1st Test: Predicted playing XI

India predicted playing XI: Yashasvi Jaiswal, KL Rahul, Devdutt Padikkal, Shubman Gill (C), Rishabh Pant (WK), Dhruv Jurel, Ravindra Jadeja, Kuldeep Yadav, Manav Suthar, Prasidh Krishna, Mohammed Siraj

Sri Lanka predicted playing XI: Lahiru Udara, Nishan Madushka, Dinesh Chandimal, Dhananjaya De Silva (C), Kamindu Mendis (VC), Pasindu Sooriyabandara, Niroshan Dickwella (WK), Milan Rathnayake, Prabath Jayasuriya, Ramesh Mendis, Keshara Nuwantha

Sri Lanka vs India 1st Test: Win percentageTeamWin probabilityIND60%SRI40%Sri Lanka vs India 1st Test: Betting odds

India are the favourites to win this match at 1.24 on Dafa, while the odds for Sri Lanka to win are 4.10 at the moment. 

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