SARATOGA SPRINGS, NEW YORK - JUNE 06: Golden Tempo with Jose Ortiz up, wins the 158th running of the Belmont Stakes with with Commandment and John Velazquez up finishing second at Saratoga Race Course on June 06, 2026 in Saratoga Springs, New York. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Getty ImagesGolden Tempo, pictured top making Triple Crown history for himself and again for his trainer Saratoga-born trainer Cherie DeVaux by winning the June 6 Belmont at Saratoga, has drawn the outside post position No. 9 for the August 29 running of the $1.25-million Travers Stakes. Surprisingly for the Kentucky Derby and Belmont champion, ridden by his usual Ortiz brother, Jose, in the irons, he’s been cast as the rather narrow morning line favorite, with odds of 5-2, just a half-point lower than the Todd Pletcher-trained second favorite, Renegade, breaking coming off a decisive ultra-late close victory in the Jim Dandy, now at 3-1.
Expressed in implied probability, the Saratoga oddmakers are telling us that Golden Tempo – again, the decisive Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes winner, just the thirteenth horse to win those two legs of the Triple Crown – has just a 28.57% chance of winning the Travers. And, they are saying that Golden Tempo’s nearest competitor in this Travers field, Renegade, who did not win a Triple Crown leg, nevertheless maintains a 25% chance of beating him. How’s that again?
As ever in tight races, the answer to that question is: The tight rating is your problem to figure out, buster. But before we get into what these two monster closers have to do to get by each other, or what they have to do, or not do, to fail at that, here’s this morning’s refresher on the draw and the Saratoga morning line.
Post Position, Trainer, Jockey, Morning Line Odds
1) Emerging Market, Chad Brown, Ricardo Santana, Jr., 15-1
2) Leading Change, Brad Cox, Manuel Franco, 12-1
3) Napoleon Solo, Chad Summers, John Velasquez, 8-1
4) The Puma, Gustavo Delgado, Javier Castellano, 8-1
5) Renegade, Todd Pletcher, Tyler Gaffalione, 3-1
6) Ocelli, Whit Beckman, Edgard Zayas, 20-1
7) Sea Strike, Chad Brown, Flavien Prat, 5-1
8) Baby Vino, Lindsay Schultz, Paco Lopez, 10-1
9) Golden Tempo, Cherie DeVaux, Jose Ortiz, 5-2
10) Silent Tactic, Mark Casse, Luis Saez, 10-1
(Source: New York Racing Association, 8/24/2026)
Ten horses is a relatively big field for the Travers, and this 157th field offers some set ups that could prevent any stretch duels. Somewhat likelier is the fact that Ortiz aboard Golden Tempo and Tyler Gaffalione replacing Irad Ortiz Jr. atop Renegade will each find (or make) space for themselves to bring a run. Whether that happens simultaneously, and in a way that sets up a duel between the favorites, is a question that we’ll have to “believe” as race week drones on in the sense that we’ll sidle up to the betting window, real or virtual, and put move on that.
This article was originally published on Forbes.com
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